Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 98.9%
Forecasters
157
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingApr 8, 22, 4:06 PM UTCJan 2, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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