CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecast
Yes 99%
Forecasters
83
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
Stale
Jul 31, 26, 3:53 AMAug 16, 26, 9:12 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes99%
No1%
Yes
99%
No
1%
Rules
Will close 12 weeks after release, using worldwide results here: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/world
Frequently asked questions
What are the current odds for Spider-Man: Brand New Day grosses over $2B??
Manifold Markets prices Yes at 99% as of August 18, 2026.
When does Spider-Man: Brand New Day grosses over $2B? resolve?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day grosses over $2B? is scheduled to resolve on August 16, 2026.
How is Spider-Man: Brand New Day grosses over $2B? settled?
Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will close 12 weeks after release, using worldwide results here: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/world