"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide?
One-OffBox Office / StreamingEntertainmentManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (99.1%)
Resolved: Oct 8, 2026, 8:52 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 9, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes99.1%
No0.9000000000000057%
Won
Lost
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KalshiRules
This market resolves YES if "Spider Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide during its initial theatrical run, and NO otherwise.
- The resolution source will be BoxOfficeMojo.
- I may resolve early if it becomes overwhelmingly clear that BND is not grossing enough anymore to pass the threshold.