Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 87.8%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleJan 26, 26, 10:48 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsWill Rihanna release a new original album in 2026?
Futuur#1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Nov 7, 2026?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if a single credited to Rihanna reaches #1 on the Billboard Hot 100, the pre-eminent singles chart in the United States, at any point during 2026.
- The single must be released or debut on the chart during the 2026 calendar year.
- Resolution will be verified via Billboard's official Hot 100 chart.
- Rihanna has not put out any new music for nine years – with her last album Anti coming out in 2016.
- She released "Friend of Mine" on May 16, 2025, a single for the Smurfs movie soundtrack.