Multi year: Will an AI be able to generate a full high quality movie to a prompt?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Multi year: Will an AI be able to generate a full high quality movie to a prompt??

Manifold Markets prices Second half 2028 at 45% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Multi year: Will an AI be able to generate a full high quality movie to a prompt? resolve?

Multi year: Will an AI be able to generate a full high quality movie to a prompt? is scheduled to resolve on October 17, 2029.

How is Multi year: Will an AI be able to generate a full high quality movie to a prompt? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: (https://manifold.markets/embed/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener?r=Zmlyc3R1c2VyaGVyZQ)Resolves YES to each half-year this is possible.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

Oscar Winner: Best Picture

• The Odyssey+1.0pt55.5%
• You Can See Everything-1.0pt18.5%
• The Black Ball14.5%

+38 more outcomes

Total Vol

$10.8M

24h Vol

$88.1K

KALSHI

Wicker · Rotten Tomatoes score

• Above 9099.5%
• Above 8599.5%
• Above 8799.5%

KALSHI

The Mongoose · Rotten Tomatoes score

• Above 15+7.0pt99.5%
• Above 10+1.0pt99.5%
• Above 599.5%

KALSHI

Top Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026

• Drake+6.0pt90%
• Taylor Swift+1.0pt6.5%
• Ella Langley-5.0pt

KALSHI

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

• Jack Lowden+5.0pt44.5%
• Callum Turner31%
• Josh O'Connor-18.0pt11.5%

KALSHI

Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album · Features

• Don Toliver+12.0pt86.5%
• Lana Del Rey-4.0pt75%
• Kali Uchis-5.0pt

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