Multi year: Will an AI be able to generate a full high quality movie to a prompt?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Multi year: Will an AI be able to generate a full high quality movie to a prompt??

Manifold Markets prices Second half 2028 at 45% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Multi year: Will an AI be able to generate a full high quality movie to a prompt? resolve?

Multi year: Will an AI be able to generate a full high quality movie to a prompt? is scheduled to resolve on October 17, 2029.

How is Multi year: Will an AI be able to generate a full high quality movie to a prompt? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: (https://manifold.markets/embed/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener?r=Zmlyc3R1c2VyaGVyZQ)Resolves YES to each half-year this is possible.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

Oscar Winner: Best Picture

• The Odyssey+2.0pt55.5%
• You Can See Everything-2.0pt19.5%
• The Black Ball14.5%

+38 more outcomes

Total Vol

$10.7M

24h Vol

$104.3K

POLYMARKET

#1 Spotify song this week? (October 30)

• Housewife - Tate McRae+1.6pt100%
• Ain't In LA - ADÉLA0%
• BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky0%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

KALSHI

Wicker · Rotten Tomatoes score

• Above 8799.5%
• Above 8599.5%
• Above 4599.5%

KALSHI

The Mongoose · Rotten Tomatoes score

• Above 599.5%
• Above 10+12.0pt98.5%
• Above 15+1.0pt92.5%

KALSHI

Grammy Winner: Best Contemporary Country Album

• Dandelion-6.0pt61.5%
• Flow State+60.0pt46.5%
• Love & Fear-5.0pt

KALSHI

Dancing with the Stars · Episode 9 Elimination

• Julia Stiles+4.0pt38.5%
• Tatyana Ali-5.0pt37.5%
• Connor Wood-1.0pt

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