Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (77.5%)
Resolved: Oct 17, 2026, 6:22 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 16, 2026, 8:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, October 23, 2026? (Closes early)
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketLargest Company end of December 2026?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketSTRC hits $100 by…
PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if the official S&P 500 closing value on Friday, October 16, 2026 (US session) is strictly above 7,800.00, per FRED (series SP500) or Yahoo Finance.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Last known closes: 7,811.54 (Oct 9), 7,807.24 (Oct 12).
- The market closes at 3:59 PM Paris time on Oct 16, before the US session ends, so nobody can trade with the result known.
- The creator will not trade in this market.
