Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast
Later than 2040 or never 40.7%Leader of 12 outcomes
Later than 2040 or never 40.7%Forecasters
13
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleFeb 29, 24, 8:11 AM UTCDec 31, 40, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.