In 2030, will I think I was right about Habryka as a counterparty / Lightcone Infrastructure as a donation target?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for In 2030, will I think I was right about Habryka as a counterparty / Lightcone Infrastructure as a donation target??

Manifold Markets prices No at 59% as of October 31, 2026.

When does In 2030, will I think I was right about Habryka as a counterparty / Lightcone Infrastructure as a donation target? resolve?

In 2030, will I think I was right about Habryka as a counterparty / Lightcone Infrastructure as a donation target? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2030.

How is In 2030, will I think I was right about Habryka as a counterparty / Lightcone Infrastructure as a donation target? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The context: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ERcDTJ2gMhAzhgDei/reasons-against-donating-to-lightcone-infrastructure

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-2.5pt28.3%
• $2.0–$2.25T+5.2pt22.2%
• $1.5–$1.75T-7.8pt19.2%

+7 more outcomes

Total Vol

$3M

24h Vol

$123.8K

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

Nbagame 26 OCT 30 Indmia

• Miami Heat+6.0pt73.5%
• Indiana Pacers-6.0pt26.5%

Total Vol

$85.1K

24h Vol

$85.1K

POLYMARKET

Largest Company end of December 2026?

• NVIDIA+3.0pt56.6%
• Apple-0.5pt42.4%
• Alphabet-0.1pt1%

+5 more outcomes

KALSHI

Average Wall Street bonus in 2026

• Above $200,00097.5%
• Above $225,000-1.0pt93.5%
• Above $250,00085.5%

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

Nbaspread 26 OCT 30 Indmia

• MIA 368%
• MIA 756%
• MIA 849%

+59 more outcomes

Total Vol

$45.3K

24h Vol

$45.3K

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

Nbagame 26 OCT 30 Houdal

• Houston Rockets+5.0pt67.7%
• Dallas Mavericks-8.0pt32.4%

Total Vol

$44.8K

24h Vol

$44.8K

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