Global population less than 1 billion by 2100

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Global population less than 1 billion by 2100?

Manifold Markets prices No at 86.4% as of November 2, 2026.

When does Global population less than 1 billion by 2100 resolve?

Global population less than 1 billion by 2100 is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2100.

How is Global population less than 1 billion by 2100 settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to "YES" if the global population is less than 1 billion at any point before the year 2100

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Is Earth flat?

• No+0.1pt99%
• Yes-0.1pt1%

Total Vol

$72.6K

24h Vol

$3.8K

KALSHI

Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026

• Above 950 units-1.0pt97.5%
• Above 1,100 units97.5%
• Above 1,400 units-5.0pt85.5%

POLYMARKET

Turner Prize 2026 Winner

• Kira Freije+1.0pt28%
• Marguerite Humeau+4.2pt24%
• Tanoa Sasraku+0.5pt22%

+1 more outcomes

KALSHI

What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?

• Above 4.3 million+1.0pt99.5%
• Above 4.1 million99.5%
• Above 4.2 million99.5%

KALSHI

US test scores in Reading in 2026?

• No significant difference+1.0pt44%
• Significant decrease31.5%
• Significant increase+2.0pt

KALSHI

Major news story in Nov 2026?

• At least 197%
• At least 267.5%
• At least 350.5%

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