Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
2026 71.1%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
17
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingDec 12, 23, 2:10 PM UTCApr 30, 27, 1:33 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the FY27 NASA Budget be larger than FY25?
Manifold MarketsWill the FY27 NASA Budget be larger than FY25?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketRules
Space X has roughly doubled revenue from 1 to 2 to 4 to an expected 9 biliion for 2023
- Estimated Space X revenue around 14 billion for 2024
- NASA has a requested budget of 28/26 billion for 2024 and 2025
Open markets
TechKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-23.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-9.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $682.4K
- 24h Vol
- $661.4K
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors-3.0pt60.4%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons+3.0pt39.6%
- Total Vol
- $654.7K
- 24h Vol
- $626.1K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+43.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $504.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-2.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-45.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+7.0pt34.3%
- 160-179+2.0pt23.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt19.1%
+23 more outcomes
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Next James Bond actor?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for For which year will Space X revenue be bigger than NASA budget??
- Manifold Markets prices 2026 at 71% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does For which year will Space X revenue be bigger than NASA budget? resolve?
- For which year will Space X revenue be bigger than NASA budget? is scheduled to resolve on April 30, 2027.
- How is For which year will Space X revenue be bigger than NASA budget? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Space X has roughly doubled revenue from 1 to 2 to 4 to an expected 9 biliion for 2023