First country to advertise for immigration of specifically trans tech worker, before Oct 2027
One-OffTechPoliticsSociety & Culture11moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 43.5%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
14
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleSep 30, 23, 8:28 PM UTCOct 1, 27, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves to the country that first produces advertisement material specifically targeted at getting trans tech worker to immigrate to that country, or to None if this does not happen by Oct 1st 2027.
- The advertisement campaign must be reliably demonstrated to exist, either by multiple reliable people individually confirming they have seen the ad (even better, screenshoted it), or reliable media reporting on it.
- It does not however need to be huge budget or particularly high profile - with the online ads targetting tools of today, this can probably be achieved with reasonable spend
- The ad need to be from the government, or its direct subsidiary, in a clear way.
- Example: title card or watermark of "Ministry of immigration of country X", or uploader is clearly labelled as a govement agency, etc. In particular, a local tech company running such ads would not qualify, as it is not a country in its official capacity.
- The targetted people must be clearly trans people (trans men, trans women, non-binary people) that are tech worker (IT specialist, software engineer, ...), with the goal to get them to immigrate there ("Apply for X visa today at imm.county.gov", "Come live in $country!")
