This market resolved: No change (99%)
Resolved: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No change
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current community forecastNo change 99%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
26
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 88 days ago
StaleDec 11, 25, 9:03 AMApr 30, 26, 11:59 PM
Probability Timeline
50+ bps decrease0.6%
25 bps decrease0.3%
No change99%
25+ bps increase2.8%
0.6%
99%
0.1%
0.3%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· No change
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall87% match · auto | Low | 100% | — | $38M | $17.2M | 88 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 99% | — | — | — | 88 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Fed decision in April?
0.1 ptsClosed
Resolved
No change (100%)
+0.2pt100%
0%
-0.1pt0%
+1 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$241.1M
24h Vol$38M
POLYMARKETRules
This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the April 2026 FOMC meeting (April 28-29, 2026).
- The outcome is determined by the net basis-point change announced in the official March FOMC statement.
- If the Fed changes the rate by an amount not matching a displayed option, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 bps for resolution (e.g., a 12.5 bps move is treated as 25 bps).
- Resolution Sources:
- The official FOMC statement for the April 2026 meeting:
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
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This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the April 2026 FOMC meeting (April 28-29, 2026).
- The outcome is determined by the net basis-point change announced in the official March FOMC statement.
- If the Fed changes the rate by an amount not matching a displayed option, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 bps for resolution (e.g., a 12.5 bps move is treated as 25 bps).
- Resolution Sources:
- The official FOMC statement for the April 2026 meeting:
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm