Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (50%)
Resolved: Sep 30, 2026, 12:40 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 30, 2026, 11:41 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes50%
No50%
Lost
Won
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PolymarketRules
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- Current totals: 283 heads vs 271 tails
- Longest streaks: 10 heads (days 12-22); 9 tails (days 479-488)
- Yesterday’s flip: Heads
- @FairlyRandom will be used to generate the outcome
- Resolution can be expected within 24 hours after closing