Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (50%)
Resolved: Oct 25, 2026, 4:19 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
50%
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:26 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes50%
No50%
Won
Lost
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Manifold MarketsRules
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- Current totals: 289 heads vs 277 tails
- Longest streaks: 10 heads (days 12-22); 9 tails (days 479-488)
- Yesterday’s flip: Heads
- @FairlyRandom will be used to generate the outcome
- Resolution can be expected within 24 hours after closing