Best SWE-Bench Pro public score by June 30, 2026
AIManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Other (97.9%)
Resolved: Aug 6, 2026, 5:48 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastOther 97.9%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
16
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 52 days ago
StaleNov 23, 25, 6:55 PMJun 30, 26, 11:59 PM
Probability Timeline
40-50%0.5%
50-60%0.8%
60-70%0.8%
Other97.9%
97.9%
0.8%
0.8%
0.5%
Rules
Currently, the best-performing models on SWE-Bench Pro score only 43.60% (claude-4-5-Sonnet) on the public dataset.
- This market asks what the highest score will be on the public SWE-Bench Pro leaderboard by June 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC
- SWE-Bench Pro contains 1,865 total tasks across 41 professional repositories, with the public set containing 731 instances.
- The benchmark contains complex, long-horizon tasks requiring edits across multiple files and repositories.
- Resolution: Market resolves to the highest % Resolved score achieved by any model on the public SWE-Bench Pro leaderboard at https://scale.com/leaderboard/swe_bench_pro_public by June 30, 2026.
- This market resolves to N/A if Scale AI discontinues the benchmark or stops measuring new models
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Best SWE-Bench Pro public score by June 30, 2026?
- Manifold Markets prices Other at 98% as of June 30, 2026.
- When does Best SWE-Bench Pro public score by June 30, 2026 resolve?
- Best SWE-Bench Pro public score by June 30, 2026 is scheduled to resolve on June 30, 2026.
- How is Best SWE-Bench Pro public score by June 30, 2026 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Currently, the best-performing models on SWE-Bench Pro score only 43.60% (claude-4-5-Sonnet) on the public dataset.
