Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 9:52 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
No 97.2%
Forecasters
63
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJan 6, 26, 10:36 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
SpaceX Starship Orbit in 2023? (No) → SpaceX Mars Mission by 2030?
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PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiRules
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/41142) Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
- Metaculus high-level description: This question will resolve as Yes if SpaceX successfully transfers at least 1 metric ton of propellant from one Starship to another while both are in Earth orbit during 2026.