KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability
No 85%
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$20
Liquidity
$200
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 24, 26, 12:00 AM UTCSep 25, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
85%
15%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will Xi leave the USA?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
PolymarketWho will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
PolymarketHow long will Trump and Xi shake hands?
PolymarketXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketRules
If Xi Jinping's departure from the United States is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:SemaforABCBloombergNBCThe Washington PostAssociated PressThe Wall Street JournalFox NewsReutersThe InformationPoliticoAxiosMSNBCCNNthe New York TimesCBS
- This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.
- News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency, that A) explicitly states Xi Jinping has departed the United States, B) based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence, and C) presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation.
- Xi Jinping departs the United States when he leaves its geographic boundaries.
- Travel within the United States, including to diplomatic premises such as the Embassy of China, does NOT count.
Open markets
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Total Vol
- $42.8M
- 24h Vol
- $135.4K
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- No-0.1pt100%
- Yes+0.1pt0%
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $49.4K
POLYMARKETWho will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- CATL+4.0pt34%
- Tencent26%
- Alibaba25%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.1pt96%
- Yes-0.1pt4%
- Total Vol
- $13.9M
- 24h Vol
- $30.1K
POLYMARKETHow long will Trump and Xi shake hands?
- 2–6s+51.5pt69.6%
- 6–10s-10.0pt20.6%
- 10–15s-19.5pt6.9%
+4 more outcomes
POLYMARKETTaipei Mayor Election Winner
- Chiang Wan-an-5.0pt79.2%
- Puma Shen+5.2pt20.8%
- Kuo Hsi0%
- Total Vol
- China PR vs. Turkmenistan
- Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?
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- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 25?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- China PR vs. Turkmenistan - More Markets
- Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
- Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?
- China PR vs. Turkmenistan - Halftime Result
Frequently asked questions
- When does Will Xi leave the U.S. early? resolve?
- Will Xi leave the U.S. early? is scheduled to resolve on September 25, 2026.
- How is Will Xi leave the U.S. early? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Xi Jinping's departure from the United States is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.