KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Las Vegas, NV 87%Leader of 21 outcomes
Las Vegas, NV 87%Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.9K
Liquidity
$221.4K
High liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
May 13, 26, 11:00 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within the named outcome before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Waymo
- "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within the named outcome, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.
- The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within the named outcome may be limited to certain areas.
- Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.
- Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:
- Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of the named outcome Waymo expands from adjacent areas into the named outcome limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within the named outcome Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in the named outcome Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public