Who will officially lead Venezuela on June 1?
0.1% (24h)PoliticsOne-OffEntertainmentMusicLatin America
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeThis market resolved: Nicolás Maduro (99%)
Resolved: Jun 1, 2026, 2:54 PM
Winning Outcome
Nicolás Maduro
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability2+ people 0%-0.1%Leader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$304.5
Liquidity
$4.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Market data
Updated 11 days ago
StaleJan 11, 26, 3:00 PMJun 1, 26, 1:59 PM
Probability Timeline
Nicolás Maduro99%
Delcy Rodríguez0%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
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If only Delcy Rodríguez officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Jun 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this contract, "officially holds" means any of the following:
- only Delcy Rodríguez has been formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela only Delcy Rodríguez is listed in official government directories, organizational charts, or equivalent authoritative sources as the head of state of Venezuela only Delcy Rodríguez is actively serving as the head of state of Venezuela with full authority and responsibilities (not suspended, on leave, or in acting/interim capacity unless explicitly specified)
- The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role:
- Nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective Appointed with an effective date after Jun 1, 2026 Previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Jun 1, 2026 Serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity Named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed Holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself
- Clarification (04/15/26): To help clarify this market, if the Expiration Date were today at this time, this market would resolve Yes to Nicolás Maduro and No to all other strikes.