30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 2, 2026?

2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 2, 2026?

7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 2, 2026?

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 2, 2026?

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Report a data issue with this market

Rules

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.64% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles via:U.S. Department of the Treasury

The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 2, 2026, or one week following Oct 2, 2026.

Rules for each outcome

5.57% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.56% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.49% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.48% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.43% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.42% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.55% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.54% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.51% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.50% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.59% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.58% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.45% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.44% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.63% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.62% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.47% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.46% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.61% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.60% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.53% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.52% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.65% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.64% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.71% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.70% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.69% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.68% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.67% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.66% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.79% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.78% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.31% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.30% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.33% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.32% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.35% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.34% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.37% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.36% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.39% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.38% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.41% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.40% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.73% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.72% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.75% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.74% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.77% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.76% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 2, 2026?

17.0 pts (24h)Bonds & TreasuriesOne-Off1d

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current implied probability

5.65% or above 57%+17.0pt

Market line of 25 lines

Market quality

39 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$1.7K

Open interest

$2.7K

Medium open interest

Spread

10.0 pt

Wide spread

Market data

Updated 23 minutes ago

Sep 29, 26, 2:02 PM UTCOct 2, 26, 7:30 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Venue terms

Source: Kalshi

Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.

Early close:: Yes
Settlement timer:: 1h (informational)

Macro-Sensitive Assets

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Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 2, 2026?

2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 2, 2026?

7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 2, 2026?

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 2, 2026?

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Rules

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.64% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles via:U.S. Department of the Treasury

The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 2, 2026, or one week following Oct 2, 2026.

Rules for each outcome

5.57% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.56% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.49% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.48% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.43% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.42% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.55% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.54% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.51% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.50% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.59% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.58% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.45% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.44% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.63% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.62% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.47% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.46% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.61% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.60% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.53% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.52% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.65% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.64% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.71% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.70% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.69% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.68% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.67% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.66% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.79% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.78% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.31% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.30% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.33% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.32% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.35% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.34% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.37% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.36% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.39% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.38% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.41% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.40% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.73% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.72% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.75% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.74% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
5.77% or above: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.76% on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Open markets

Bonds & Treasuries

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.3%-2.5pt89%
5.4%-0.5pt64%
5.5%+5.6pt51%

+10 more outcomes

Total Vol: $760.1K
24h Vol: $21.3K

KALSHI

SOFR for September 30, 2026

3.91% or Above55.8%
Exactly 3.90%36.3%
Exactly 3.89%4.4%

+4 more outcomes

Total Vol: $12.1K
24h Vol: $12.1K

KALSHI

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026?

5.13% or above99%
5.11% or above99%
5.15% or above99%

+12 more outcomes

Total Vol: $8.6K
24h Vol: $8.3K

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.60%+0.8pt98%
5.65%86%
5.70%-3.5pt76%

+7 more outcomes

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.10%-3.0pt83%
5.25%-11.0pt45%

+7 more outcomes

Total Vol: $48.3K
24h Vol: $4K