KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Brian Armstrong · —
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Stored price
Brian Armstrong 10%Leader of 11 outcomes
Brian Armstrong 10%Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$6.6K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Brian ArmstrongSpread
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Market data
Updated 48 minutes ago
LaggingOct 21, 25, 4:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Brian Armstrong
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If Brian Armstrong is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Rules for each outcome
- Brian Armstrong
- If Brian Armstrong is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jesse Pollak
- If Jesse Pollak is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Barron Trump
- If Barron Trump is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ansem
- If Ansem is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jeff Yan
- If Jeff Yan is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- James Wynn
- If James Wynn is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- DegenPing
- If DegenPing is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Arthur Hayes
- If Arthur Hayes is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Martin Shkreli
- If Martin Shkreli is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- GCR
- If GCR is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sam Bankman-Fried
- If Sam Bankman-Fried is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
