KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Brian Armstrong 19%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$6.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Oct 21, 25, 4:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?
PolymarketWho will be guests on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast in 2026?
Manifold MarketsThe Joe Rogan Experience: Guests in 2026
KalshiCall Her Daddy: Guests this year
KalshiJimmy Kimmel: Guests in 2026
KalshiSarah Paine 2026 Podcast appearance
Manifold MarketsRules
If the named outcome is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If GCR is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.5pt70.6%
- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for UpOnly podcast: Guests this year?
- Kalshi prices Brian Armstrong at 19% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does UpOnly podcast: Guests this year resolve?
- UpOnly podcast: Guests this year is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is UpOnly podcast: Guests this year settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.