KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Hunter Biden 81%+64.0ptLeader of 21 outcomes
Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$482
Liquidity
$26.1K
High liquiditySpread
34.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jan 1, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the end of 2026?
Manifold Markets60 minutes: Joe Rogan joins as a Correspondent this year?
KalshiWill Destiny go on Joe Rogan before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Netanyahu go on Joe Rogan by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (September 7)
PolymarketJimmy Fallon: Guests in 2026
KalshiRules
If the named outcome goes on the Joe Rogan Experience before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Spotify
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+42.0pt76%
- 940 - 950m-42.0pt19.2%
- 960 - 970m+0.2pt1.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $344.8K
- 24h Vol
- $102.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+32.0pt61%
- Jack Barton-2.0pt19%
- Callum Turner-11.0pt16%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+13.1pt32%
- No Bond chosen-7.8pt16%
- Jack Barton+0.9pt14%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+6.0pt28.4%
- Barrett Pfeiffer+2.0pt18.4%
- Drew Campbell-1.0pt12.8%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- 70-80M+8.8pt63%
- 80-90M+3.0pt35%
- 60-70M-4.6pt1%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey52%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball11%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.9M
- 24h Vol
- $32.7K
- Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series
- Post Malone: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Morgan Wallen: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for The Joe Rogan Experience: Guests in 2026?
- Kalshi prices Hunter Biden at 81% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does The Joe Rogan Experience: Guests in 2026 resolve?
- The Joe Rogan Experience: Guests in 2026 is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is The Joe Rogan Experience: Guests in 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome goes on the Joe Rogan Experience before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.