KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 100 28%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$101
Liquidity
$101
Low liquiditySpread
71.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 28, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 7, 26, 2:29 AM UTC
Trends
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Starbucks Credit Card Spend in September
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KalshiCredit Card Competition act enacted before 2027?
Manifold Markets[Credit Default Swap] How many of these markets will resolve to YES?
Manifold MarketsManifold Credit Default swaps 2030
Manifold MarketsRules
If the Carbon Arc Target Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc.
- Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
- The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 means Target Credit Card Spend was equal to the same month last year.
- Values the named outcome indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% more spend than year prior, 97 = 3% decline from year prior.
- The index is measured by Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, matched to the same period of the prior year.
