KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 89° or above (74%)
Resolved: Oct 8, 2026, 6:10 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 8, 2026, 4:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
89° or above74%
88° or above98%
86° or above99%
87° or above99%
90° or above4%
91° or above2%
85° or above99%
92° or above0%
93° or above0%
94° or above0%
86° or aboveLost
87° or aboveLost
85° or aboveLost
88° or aboveLost
89° or aboveWon
90° or aboveLost
91° or aboveLost
92° or aboveLost
93° or aboveLost
94° or aboveLost
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 8, 2026 at 1 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 84.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Synoptic Data
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology.
- Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 8, 2026 at 1 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 85.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 8, 2026 at 1 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 86.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 8, 2026 at 1 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 87.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
