KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 70.5 · —
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Stored price
Above 85.5 49%Market line of 8 lines
Above 85.5 49%Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$8.2K
Open interest
$10K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 70.5Spread
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Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Nov 3, 26, 3:09 AM UTCDec 6, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 70.5
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiWill a film or TV show based on a book by Brandon Sanderson release before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich Xbox franchises will get a newly announced film or TV adaptation before 2028?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the Carbon Arc Film & TV Streaming Ad Spend (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 85.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 5th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 5th. The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Film & TV Streaming Ad Spend was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 70.5
- If the Carbon Arc Film & TV Streaming Ad Spend (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 70.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 78
- If the Carbon Arc Film & TV Streaming Ad Spend (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 78 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 82
- If the Carbon Arc Film & TV Streaming Ad Spend (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 82 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 85.5
- If the Carbon Arc Film & TV Streaming Ad Spend (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 85.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 98
- If the Carbon Arc Film & TV Streaming Ad Spend (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 98 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 93.5
- If the Carbon Arc Film & TV Streaming Ad Spend (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 93.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 89.5
- If the Carbon Arc Film & TV Streaming Ad Spend (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 89.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 108.5
- If the Carbon Arc Film & TV Streaming Ad Spend (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 108.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.