KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
3.60% or Below 7%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$200
Liquidity
$200
Low liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 2:10 PM UTCSep 10, 26, 11:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 9, 2026 is at most 3.60%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- The Underlying is the initially reported SOFR for September 9, 2026 in the table named “Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data” in the column labeled “Rate (%)”.
- Later revisions will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 9, 2026 is exactly 3.61%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 9, 2026 is exactly 3.62%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 9, 2026 is exactly 3.63%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Bonds & Treasuries
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $329K
- 24h Vol
- $13.5K
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-14.5pt63%
- Below 4.73%-24.0pt49%
- Below 4.61%25%
+6 more outcomes
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.74% or above99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.5K
- 24h Vol
- $4.3K
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+40.0pt88%
- 4.85%+27.5pt67%
- 4.88%-0.5pt30%
+6 more outcomes
KALSHI30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 5.19% or above99%
- 5.11% or above99%
- 5.13% or above99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.2K
- 24h Vol
- $4.2K
KALSHI5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.51% or above99%
- 4.41% or above99%
- 4.43% or above99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.3K
- 24h Vol
- $4.2K
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for SOFR for September 9, 2026?
- Kalshi prices 3.60% or Below at 7% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does SOFR for September 9, 2026 resolve?
- SOFR for September 9, 2026 is scheduled to resolve on September 10, 2026.
- How is SOFR for September 9, 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 9, 2026 is at most 3.60%, then the market resolves to Yes.