KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above $480 billion · —
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Stored price
Above $500 billion 59%Market line of 6 lines
Above $500 billion 59%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$8.8
Open interest
$4K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above $480 billionSpread
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Market data
Updated 56 minutes ago
LaggingJul 29, 26, 1:28 AM UTCMay 11, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above $480 billion
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q3
KalshiMercadoLibre gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026
KalshiSezzle gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026
KalshiMercadoLibre gross merchandise volume in Q3
KalshiPredict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketLargest Company end of December 2026?
PolymarketRules
If Shopify Inc. reports Above 500000000000 gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fiscal.ai
- This market refers to the annual figure reported in Shopify Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above $480 billion
- If Shopify Inc. reports Above 480000000000 gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $470 billion
- If Shopify Inc. reports Above 470000000000 gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $460 billion
- If Shopify Inc. reports Above 460000000000 gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $490 billion
- If Shopify Inc. reports Above 490000000000 gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $500 billion
- If Shopify Inc. reports Above 500000000000 gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $510 billion
- If Shopify Inc. reports Above 510000000000 gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
