KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityMicah Lasher 1%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0.4
Liquidity
$10.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Apr 16, 26, 2:00 PMJun 23, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Micah Lasher1%
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If Micah Lasher finishes in 2nd place in the NY-12 Democratic primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.