KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityJames Fishback 20%-13.0%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.1K
Liquidity
$36.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
19.0% / 23.0%
Spread
21.1%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Apr 15, 26, 2:00 PMAug 18, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
James Fishback20%
Related Markets
Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place
$1KJay Collins: 22%KALSHI
KALSHIMichigan Senate Democratic primary: 2nd place
$262.2Haley Stevens: 84%KALSHI
KALSHINY-12 Democratic primary: 2nd place
$0.4Micah Lasher: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$492.3KRobert F. Kennedy: 49%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$410.8KJD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
California Governor Election Winner
$8.5KXavier Becerra: 90%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Ripple, Coinbase among top donors in crypto’s $189 million election spending: reportThe Block
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Ripple-backed PACs fuel record $189M crypto election spendingCrypto News
Eizenkot kicks off election bid as Polymarket puts him at 40% to lead IsraelBlockchain.News.jpg)
Supreme Court mail-ballot ruling lifts Lula to 55.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.NewsRules
If Jay Collins finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.