KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 3.1 billion (99%)
Resolved: Oct 21, 2026, 3:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 21, 2026, 2:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Above 3.2 billion68%
Above 3.1 billionWon
Above 2.8 billionLost
Above 2.9 billionLost
Above 3 billionLost
Above 3.2 billionLost
Above 3.5 billionLost
Above 3.3 billionLost
Above 3.7 billionLost
Above 3.4 billionLost
Above 3.6 billionLost
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KalshiRules
If Philip Morris International Inc reports Above 3100000000.0 zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fiscal.ai
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Rules for each outcome
- Above 3.1 billion
- If Philip Morris International Inc reports Above 3100000000.0 zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2.8 billion
- If Philip Morris International Inc reports Above 2800000000.0 zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2.9 billion
- If Philip Morris International Inc reports Above 2900000000.0 zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3 billion
- If Philip Morris International Inc reports Above 3000000000.0 zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3.2 billion
- If Philip Morris International Inc reports Above 3200000000.0 zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3.5 billion
- If Philip Morris International Inc reports Above 3500000000 zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3.3 billion
- If Philip Morris International Inc reports Above 3300000000.0 zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3.7 billion
- If Philip Morris International Inc reports Above 3700000000 zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3.4 billion
- If Philip Morris International Inc reports Above 3400000000.0 zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3.6 billion
- If Philip Morris International Inc reports Above 3600000000 zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.