KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Nov 4, 2026, 12:06 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Above $25/MWh · —
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Stored price
Above $25/MWh 92.5%
Above $25/MWh 92.5%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$0
Open interest unknownBid / Ask
— / —
Above $25/MWhSpread
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Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Oct 30, 26, 9:00 PM UTCNov 6, 26, 9:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
Market depth · Above $25/MWh
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Rules
If the all-hours average real-time power price at PJM AEP-Dayton Hub is above $25/MWh for the week ending November 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:PJM Interconnection, L.L.C.
- Period: October 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT to November 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST. Includes the start; excludes the end. Source: PJM Data Miner 2’s verified hourly real-time total LMPs. Intervals follow their Eastern-time start times; repeated daylight-saving hours count separately. Calculation: Simple average of all applicable hourly prices, including negative prices. Round the average to two decimals, with exact halves away from zero. Equality resolves No. Trading closes: November 6, 2026 at 4:59 PM EST. The final delivery interval still counts. Price versions: Use first published applicable prices. Later corrections count only if published before expiration and accepted by the Exchange as correcting a material error. Exclude unverified, estimated, indicative and forecast prices. Missing data: Do not fill missing prices. At expiration, average the available prices if at least 95% of required intervals are available. Below 95%, resolve only if the available data establishes the outcome regardless of missing values; otherwise, settle at the Exchange-determined last fair price under the full rules.
Rules for each outcome
- Above $25/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at PJM AEP-Dayton Hub is above $25/MWh for the week ending November 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $35/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at PJM AEP-Dayton Hub is above $35/MWh for the week ending November 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $45/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at PJM AEP-Dayton Hub is above $45/MWh for the week ending November 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $55/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at PJM AEP-Dayton Hub is above $55/MWh for the week ending November 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $70/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at PJM AEP-Dayton Hub is above $70/MWh for the week ending November 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $100/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at PJM AEP-Dayton Hub is above $100/MWh for the week ending November 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $150/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at PJM AEP-Dayton Hub is above $150/MWh for the week ending November 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
