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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Economy
  3. Jobs numbers in Jul 2026?
Jobs numbers in Jul 2026?

Jobs numbers in Jul 2026?

20.0% (24h)EconomyFedOne-OffMacro & Economy1mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Above 60,000
Above 60,000 72%+20.0%
Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$2.4

Liquidity

$22.6

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

64.0% / 75.0%

Spread

17.2%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Oct 13, 25, 2:00 PMAug 7, 26, 12:29 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Above 60,00072%

Rules

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -25000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data release.
  • If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 0 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 10000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 20000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 30000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Jobs numbers in June 2026?

Jobs numbers in June 2026?

$25.3
Above -25,000: 96%KalshiKALSHI
Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?

Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?

$0.2
Above 50,000: 66%KalshiKALSHI
Jobs numbers in October 2026?

Jobs numbers in October 2026?

$0
Above -25,000: 79%KalshiKALSHI
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$190.6K
0 (0: 79%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

$101.9K
Yes: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

$83.5K
Yes: 52%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,632.64+2.54%EthereumETH$1,651.33+2.14%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.78%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+2.01%BNBBNB$594.43+1.80%XRPXRP$1.12+0.55%

Related News

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsCan the Bank of Japan’s 1% rate hike spark another crypto selloff?Crypto NewsThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsMay 2026 US Jobs Report: Upward Revisions Reshape Crypto Fed Rate Cut OutlookBlockchain ReporterBitcoin price falls below $60K as hot U.S. jobs report crushes rate cut hopesCrypto News

Rules

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -25000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data release.
  • If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 0 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 10000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 20000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 30000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.