This market resolved: Micah Lasher (100%)
Resolved: Jun 24, 2026, 2:39 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Micah Lasher
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
69%
ConsensusCurrent implied probability
Micah Lasher 100%+30.9%Leader of 20 outcomes
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$514.2K
Liquidity
$8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated 9 days ago
StaleSep 5, 25, 2:00 PMJun 24, 26, 2:09 AM
Probability Timeline
Micah Lasher100%
Alex Bores0%
Jack Schlossberg2%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
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If Micah Lasher wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-12 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Erik Bottcher wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-12 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Julie Menin wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-12 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alex Bores wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-12 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Liam Elkind wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-12 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Carolyn Maloney wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-12 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.