KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityTodd Blanche 78%+2.0%Leader of 22 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$28.3K
Liquidity
$4.6M
High liquidityBid / Ask
78.0% / 79.0%
Spread
1.3%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 49 minutes ago
LaggingApr 2, 26, 5:10 PMJan 20, 29, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Todd Blanche78%
Also available on Manifold Markets
Who will be the next Attorney General of the United States?
5mo
46.1%
15.9%
2.6%
+6 more outcomes
Community forecast13 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$735.7
24h Vol$76.7
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
If the first new person to be Attorney General is Lee Zeldin before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion.
- Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- If the first new person to be Attorney General is Matt Gaetz before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Attorney General is Matt Whitaker before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Attorney General is Jeff Jensen before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$28.3kJul 26d of dataJul 7
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If the first new person to be Attorney General is Lee Zeldin before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion.
- Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- If the first new person to be Attorney General is Matt Gaetz before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Attorney General is Matt Whitaker before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Attorney General is Jeff Jensen before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.