KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 30,280 or above (98%)
Resolved: Sep 21, 2026, 5:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
30,280 or above
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability
30,280 or above 98%Leader of 100 outcomes
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$16.7K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleSep 18, 26, 8:00 PM UTCSep 21, 26, 5:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
30,330 or above97%
30,350 or above84%
30,360 or above69%
30,340 or above67%
30,290 or above92%
30,110 or above75%
30,100 or above79%
30,120 or above71%
30,310 or above67%
30,060 or above83%
30,090 or above81%
30,070 or above87%
29,920 or above53%
30,040 or above88%
30,080 or above77%
30,140 or above66%
30,030 or above90%
30,050 or above88%
30,130 or above71%
30,020 or above90%
30,160 or above58%
30,150 or above64%
29,940 or above60%
29,900 or above78%
29,970 or above48%
29,930 or above65%
29,870 or above83%
30,170 or above47%
29,880 or above39%
30,000 or above80%
29,890 or above60%
29,960 or above58%
29,800 or above98%
29,850 or above98%
29,950 or above54%
29,980 or above45%
30,010 or above41%
30,890 or above1%
29,840 or above23%
29,860 or above21%
29,910 or above76%
27,400 or above0%
27,410 or above0%
27,420 or above0%
27,430 or above0%
27,440 or above0%
27,450 or above0%
27,460 or above0%
27,470 or above0%
27,480 or above0%
27,490 or above0%
27,500 or above0%
27,510 or above0%
27,520 or above0%
27,530 or above0%
27,540 or above0%
27,550 or above0%
27,560 or above0%
27,570 or above0%
27,580 or above0%
27,590 or above0%
27,600 or above0%
27,610 or above0%
27,620 or above0%
27,630 or above0%
27,640 or above0%
27,650 or above0%
27,660 or above0%
27,670 or above0%
27,680 or above0%
27,690 or above0%
27,700 or above0%
27,710 or above0%
27,720 or above0%
27,730 or above0%
27,740 or above0%
27,750 or above0%
27,760 or above0%
27,770 or above0%
27,780 or above0%
27,790 or above0%
27,800 or above0%
27,810 or above0%
27,820 or above0%
27,830 or above0%
27,840 or above0%
27,850 or above0%
27,860 or above0%
27,870 or above0%
27,880 or above0%
27,890 or above0%
27,900 or above0%
27,910 or above0%
30,390 or above14%
30,370 or above53%
30,380 or above20%
30,400 or above17%
98%
98%
98%
97%
92%
90%
90%
88%
88%
87%
87%
85%
84%
83%
83%
81%
80%
79%
78%
77%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Sep 21, 2026 at 1pm EDT is above 27399.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:For example, Google Finance
- The market will close on September 21, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after September 21, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Sep 21, 2026 at 1pm EDT is above 27409.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
EquitiesKALSHIS&P price on Sep 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 7,755 or above+94.0pt99%
- 7,745 or above99%
- 7,735 or above99%
+67 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $572.2K
- 24h Vol
- $554.1K
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 30,180 or above99%
- 30,280 or above99%
- 29,950 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $153.6K
- 24h Vol
- $146.4K
KALSHINasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- 33,000.01 or above+8.0pt20.9%
- 30,500 to 30,999.99+1.0pt7%
- 31,500 to 31,999.99+2.0pt6.1%
+27 more outcomes
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 21?
- Up+51.5pt100%
- Down-51.5pt0%
- Total Vol
- $59.8K
- 24h Vol
- $56.3K
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 8,000 to 8,199.99-2.0pt16.4%
- 7,800 to 7,999.9916.4%
- 7,600 to 7,799.99-2.0pt11.8%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 21?
- $770+92.0pt100%
- $760+29.6pt100%
- $755+29.1pt100%
+8 more outcomes
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 21 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- How low will the S&P get this year?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- S&P 500 Daily Up/Down
- What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit Week of September 21 2026?
- What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit Week of September 21 2026?
- STRC hits $100 by…
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 21, 2026 at 1pm EDT??
- Kalshi prices 30,280 or above at 98% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 21, 2026 at 1pm EDT? resolve?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 21, 2026 at 1pm EDT? is scheduled to resolve on September 21, 2026.
- How is Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 21, 2026 at 1pm EDT? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Sep 21, 2026 at 1pm EDT is above 27399.99, then the market resolves to Yes.