KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 28,920 or above (12%)
Resolved: Sep 16, 2026, 8:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
28,920 or above
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability
28,880 or above 99%Leader of 100 outcomes
Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$219.4K
Liquidity
$207.6K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleSep 15, 26, 10:29 PM UTCSep 16, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
29,140 or above44%
29,090 or above49%
29,040 or above48%
28,850 or above26%
28,930 or above18%
29,100 or above47%
29,050 or above53%
29,150 or above41%
28,230 or above98%
28,920 or above83%
29,190 or above52%
29,170 or above54%
28,980 or above77%
29,000 or above77%
28,960 or above78%
29,180 or above53%
28,780 or above91%
28,900 or above99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
98%
98%
98%
98%
97%
96%
95%
94%
94%
94%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the end-of-day Nasdaq 100 index value on September 16, 2026 is above 27099.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:For example, Google Finance
- The market will close on September 16, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after September 16, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the end-of-day Nasdaq 100 index value on September 16, 2026 is above 27109.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Equities
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.9M
- 24h Vol
- $62K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.1pt25.3%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt20%
- $1.75–$2.0T-4.0pt16.8%
+7 more outcomes
LIMITLESSS&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes51.5%
- No48.5%
- Total Vol
- $49.3K
- 24h Vol
- $49K
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 8,000 to 8,199.99+2.0pt16.4%
- 7,800 to 7,999.99+1.0pt15.4%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9912.7%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
POLYMARKETDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
- No IPO by December 31, 2027-16.8pt60.8%
- 8–11B+6.7pt9.8%
- 11–14B-0.1pt7.8%
+5 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
- 600B+-0.3pt95%
- No IPO by December 31, 2027+0.8pt4%
- 400–600B-0.1pt1%
+4 more outcomes
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- STRC hits $100 by…
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will ByteDance's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Sweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in Q3
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 21?
- Lemonade total customers in Q3
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT??
- Kalshi prices 28,880 or above at 99% as of September 16, 2026.
- When does Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT? resolve?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT? is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026.
- How is Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the end-of-day Nasdaq 100 index value on September 16, 2026 is above 27099.99, then the market resolves to Yes.