KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 29,840 or above (88%)
Resolved: Oct 21, 2026, 4:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
29,840 or above
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 21, 2026, 3:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
29,750 or above99%
29,600 or above58%
29,430 or above91%
29,370 or above99%
29,380 or above99%
29,390 or above99%
29,950 or above1%
30,000 or above1%
30,020 or above1%
29,730 or above24%
29,620 or above53%
29,660 or above50%
30,240 or above2%
29,720 or above27%
29,680 or above34%
29,570 or above65%
30,210 or above2%
29,670 or above36%
29,560 or above72%
29,700 or above34%
29,520 or above76%
29,540 or above72%
29,550 or above72%
29,580 or above61%
29,530 or above74%
29,510 or above79%
29,500 or above81%
29,480 or above85%
29,490 or above82%
29,590 or above61%
29,450 or above90%
29,460 or above90%
29,470 or above90%
29,400 or above99%
29,960 or above1%
29,640 or above48%
29,630 or above48%
29,610 or above58%
29,650 or above50%
29,410 or above92%
27,500 or above99%
27,510 or above99%
27,520 or above99%
27,530 or above99%
27,540 or above99%
27,550 or above99%
27,560 or above99%
27,570 or above99%
27,580 or above99%
27,590 or above99%
27,600 or above99%
27,610 or above99%
27,620 or above99%
27,630 or above99%
27,640 or above99%
27,650 or above99%
27,660 or above99%
27,670 or above99%
27,680 or above99%
27,690 or above99%
27,700 or above99%
27,710 or above99%
27,720 or above99%
27,730 or above99%
27,740 or above99%
27,750 or above99%
27,760 or above99%
27,770 or above99%
27,780 or above99%
27,790 or above99%
27,800 or above99%
27,810 or above99%
27,820 or above99%
27,830 or above99%
27,840 or above99%
27,850 or above99%
27,860 or above99%
27,870 or above99%
29,840 or above88%
29,770 or above98%
29,850 or above83%
29,830 or above97%
29,860 or above50%
29,810 or above94%
29,790 or above99%
29,800 or above94%
29,890 or above7%
29,870 or above33%
29,820 or above94%
29,780 or above99%
29,880 or above11%
29,760 or above99%
29,740 or above99%
29,790 or aboveLost
29,750 or aboveLost
29,600 or aboveLost
29,780 or aboveLost
29,430 or aboveLost
29,370 or aboveLost
29,380 or aboveLost
29,390 or aboveLost
29,760 or aboveLost
29,740 or aboveLost
29,730 or aboveLost
29,620 or aboveLost
29,660 or aboveLost
29,720 or aboveLost
29,680 or aboveLost
29,570 or aboveLost
29,690 or aboveLost
29,670 or aboveLost
29,560 or aboveLost
29,700 or aboveLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Oct 21, 2026 at 12pm EDT is above 27499.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:For example, Google Finance
- The market will close on October 21, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 21, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Oct 21, 2026 at 12pm EDT is above 27509.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
