KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 12 83%+24.0ptLeader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
50 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$228
Liquidity
$3.7K
Medium liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 31, 26, 6:00 PMOct 1, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
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Rules
If all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have the named outcome launches in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Source Agency records the date of liftoff in a different time zone, the Exchange will convert to Eastern Time for purposes of allocating the launch to the time period.
- Please see full rules for more details.
Open markets
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-6.0pt82.2%
- OpenAI+7.3pt15.8%
- Google-1.1pt2%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
- 24h Vol
- $483.6K
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Anthropic-38.5pt53%
- OpenAI+21.4pt29%
- Google+0.3pt1%
+15 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-4.0pt75.5%
- OpenAI+8.7pt14.7%
- Google-4.3pt5.9%
+18 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-11.0pt83.2%
- OpenAI+7.9pt15.8%
- Google-0.1pt1.1%
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-1.0pt94%
- Above 9-10.0pt66%
- Above 10+3.0pt38%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic-1.6pt58%
- SpaceX+1.0pt40%
- OpenAI+0.8pt2%
+9 more outcomes
- NASA lands on the moon?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?
- Second-best AI Lab end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- #3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
- Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?
- Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
- Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Total space launches in September?
- Kalshi prices Above 12 at 83% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Total space launches in September resolve?
- Total space launches in September is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
- How is Total space launches in September settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have the named outcome launches in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.