KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 7,650 or above (81%)
Resolved: Aug 24, 2026, 6:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
7,650 or above
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 24, 2026, 5:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
7,645 or above 99%Leader of 60 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$60.9K
Liquidity
$63.9K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleAug 21, 26, 8:00 PMAug 24, 26, 6:00 PM
Probability Timeline
7,645 or above99%
7,655 or above18%
7,660 or above1%
7,650 or above81%
7,665 or above2%
7,640 or above98%
7,720 or above1%
7,670 or above12%
7,675 or above8%
7,680 or above5%
7,690 or above2%
7,695 or above2%
7,705 or above1%
7,710 or above1%
7,685 or above3%
7,700 or above1%
7,715 or above1%
7,635 or above79%
7,615 or above0%
7,725 or above1%
7,730 or above1%
7,735 or above1%
7,475 or above0%
7,480 or above0%
7,485 or above0%
7,490 or above0%
7,495 or above0%
7,500 or above0%
7,505 or above0%
7,510 or above0%
7,515 or above0%
7,520 or above0%
7,525 or above0%
7,530 or above0%
7,535 or above0%
7,540 or above0%
7,545 or above0%
7,550 or above0%
7,555 or above0%
7,560 or above0%
7,565 or above0%
7,570 or above0%
7,575 or above0%
7,580 or above0%
7,585 or above0%
7,590 or above0%
7,595 or above0%
7,600 or above0%
7,605 or above0%
7,610 or above0%
7,620 or above0%
7,625 or above0%
7,630 or above0%
7,740 or above0%
7,745 or above0%
7,750 or above0%
7,755 or above0%
7,760 or above0%
7,765 or above0%
7,770 or above0%
99%
99%
98%
98%
81%
18%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If the S&P 500 index value on Aug 24, 2026 at 2pm EDT is above 7474.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:For example, Google Finance
- The market will close on August 24, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after August 24, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the S&P 500 index value on Aug 24, 2026 at 2pm EDT is above 7479.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Equities
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T+0.2pt98%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.1M
- 24h Vol
- $59.1K
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++7.2pt47.6%
- 1T–1.25T-1.6pt17.5%
- 1.25T–1.5T-2.0pt17.5%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.99-1.0pt13.6%
- 8,000 to 8,199.99-3.0pt12.7%
- 7,600 to 7,799.99+1.0pt11%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETSTRC hits $100 by…
- December 31+9.0pt61.3%
- September 30+11.5pt38.7%
- June 30-0.4pt0%
KALSHIHow high will the S&P get this year?
- 7,800 or above99%
- 8,000 or above-8.4pt58%
- 8,200 or above+4.0pt38%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETWhat will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit Week of August 24 2026?
- ↓ $107.50+9.4pt100%
- ↓ $105+16.9pt100%
- ↓ $102.50+38.0pt81%
+11 more outcomes
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of August 24 2026?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of August 24 2026?
- What will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit Week of August 24 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for S&P price on Aug 24, 2026 at 2pm EDT??
- Kalshi prices 7,645 or above at 99% as of August 24, 2026.
- When does S&P price on Aug 24, 2026 at 2pm EDT? resolve?
- S&P price on Aug 24, 2026 at 2pm EDT? is scheduled to resolve on August 24, 2026.
- How is S&P price on Aug 24, 2026 at 2pm EDT? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the S&P 500 index value on Aug 24, 2026 at 2pm EDT is above 7474.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.