KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 24, 2026, 7:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
No 99%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$17.4K
Liquidity
$8.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
2.0% / 6.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 22, 26, 12:00 AMAug 24, 26, 8:00 PM
Trends
99%
1%
Rules
If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on August 24, 2026 is above 7674.37, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:For example, Google Finance
- The target value is the end-of-day/closing price of the prior week's close.
Open markets
Equities
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T+0.2pt98%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.1M
- 24h Vol
- $59.1K
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++7.2pt47.6%
- 1T–1.25T-1.6pt17.5%
- 1.25T–1.5T-2.0pt17.5%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.99-1.0pt13.6%
- 8,000 to 8,199.99-3.0pt12.7%
- 7,600 to 7,799.99+1.0pt11%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETSTRC hits $100 by…
- December 31+9.0pt61.3%
- September 30+11.5pt38.7%
- June 30-0.4pt0%
KALSHIHow high will the S&P get this year?
- 7,800 or above99%
- 8,000 or above-8.4pt58%
- 8,200 or above+4.0pt38%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETWhat will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit Week of August 24 2026?
- ↓ $107.50+9.4pt100%
- ↓ $105+16.9pt100%
- ↓ $102.50+38.0pt81%
+11 more outcomes
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of August 24 2026?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of August 24 2026?
- What will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit Week of August 24 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for S&P 500 Daily Up/Down?
- Kalshi prices No at 99% as of August 24, 2026.
- When does S&P 500 Daily Up/Down resolve?
- S&P 500 Daily Up/Down is scheduled to resolve on August 24, 2026.
- How is S&P 500 Daily Up/Down settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on August 24, 2026 is above 7674.37, then the market resolves to Yes.