What will Pete Hegseth say during his Naval War College remarks?
DogecoinOne-OffMemecoinUS PoliticsGeopolitics13d
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Trump (5+ times) · —
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Stored price
Trump (5+ times) 99.5%Leader of 14 outcomes
Trump (5+ times) 99.5%Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$10.5K
Open interest
$9.9K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Trump (5+ times)Spread
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Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Nov 9, 26, 2:55 PM UTCNov 23, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
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Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Trump (5+ times)
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If Pete Hegseth says Iran (3+ times) as part of Naval War College remarks originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersThe New York Timesthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the Naval War College remarks originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Naval War College remarks originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Pete Hegseth speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Rules for each outcome
- Trump (5+ times)
- If Pete Hegseth says Trump (5+ times) as part of Naval War College remarks originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- America First
- If Pete Hegseth says America First as part of Naval War College remarks originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- China / Chinese
- If Pete Hegseth says China / Chinese as part of Naval War College remarks originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nuclear
- If Pete Hegseth says Nuclear as part of Naval War College remarks originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iran (3+ times)
- If Pete Hegseth says Iran (3+ times) as part of Naval War College remarks originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Submarine
- If Pete Hegseth says Submarine as part of Naval War College remarks originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrat
- If Pete Hegseth says Democrat as part of Naval War College remarks originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Israel / Israeli
- If Pete Hegseth says Israel / Israeli as part of Naval War College remarks originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Fake News
- If Pete Hegseth says Fake News as part of Naval War College remarks originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Drone
- If Pete Hegseth says Drone as part of Naval War College remarks originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Uranium
- If Pete Hegseth says Uranium as part of Naval War College remarks originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Shipbuilding
- If Pete Hegseth says Shipbuilding as part of Naval War College remarks originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ukraine / Ukrainian
- If Pete Hegseth says Ukraine / Ukrainian as part of Naval War College remarks originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Event does not qualify
- If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.