KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNed Lamont 89.7%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$623.7
Liquidity
$14.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
0.1% / 3.9%
Spread
3.8 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 30 minutes ago
Jul 3, 25, 2:00 PMNov 3, 26, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Susan Bysiewicz3%
Compare venues· Ned Lamont
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 96% | -1pt | $623.7 | $14.1K | 30 minutes ago | |
 Polymarket80% match · verified | Low | 97% | 0pt | $0 | $17.9K | 30 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Connecticut Governor Democratic Primary Winner
0.1 pts12d
+0.1pt97%
+0.1pt3%
0%
+26 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$36.3K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETRules
If Ned Lamont wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Connecticut Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Susan Bysiewicz wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Connecticut Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Luke Bronin wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Connecticut Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If William Tong wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Connecticut Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Josh Elliott wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Connecticut Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$624Jul 225d of dataJul 29
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If Ned Lamont wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Connecticut Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Susan Bysiewicz wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Connecticut Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Luke Bronin wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Connecticut Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If William Tong wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Connecticut Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Josh Elliott wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Connecticut Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.