KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
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Current implied probability
Above 24% 9%+7.0ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$13.8K
Liquidity
$24.9K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 17, 26, 11:00 PMAug 24, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
9%
8%
3%
2%
1%
Rules
If Google scores above 22% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 17, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:OpenRouter - AI Market Share
- This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated values for the week of Aug 17, 2026 .
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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- If Google scores above 23% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 17, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Google scores above 24% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 17, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
AI
GEMINISeattle vs Tennessee
- Seattle50.5%
- Tennessee49.5%
- Total Vol
- $51.8K
- 24h Vol
- $50.2K
KALSHITop AI model in August
- claude-opus-5-high+9.0pt61.7%
- claude-opus-5-max-3.0pt34.6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt1.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $133.3K
- 24h Vol
- $41.3K
POLYMARKETIn which month will Anthropic IPO?
- October 2026-1.0pt68%
- September 2026-2.0pt14%
- November 2026-4.0pt5%
+14 more outcomes
GEMINIArthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe
- Arthur Fils99%
- Frances Tiafoe1%
- Total Vol
- $38.4K
- 24h Vol
- $38.4K
POLYMARKETGemini 4.0 released by which date?
- November 30-3.5pt81%
- October 31-14.5pt57%
- September 30-4.0pt19%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt63.8%
- Grok+5.0pt14.3%
- ChatGPT-1.5pt10.5%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $9.3M
- Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Anthropic IPO by __?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- ZEC price on August 28
- Best AI this week
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- BTC price on August 24
- Anthropic market share this week
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Gemini market share this week?
- Kalshi prices Above 24% at 9% as of August 24, 2026.
- When does Gemini market share this week resolve?
- Gemini market share this week is scheduled to resolve on August 24, 2026.
- How is Gemini market share this week settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Google scores above 22% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 17, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.