KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (51%)
Resolved: Oct 21, 2026, 5:30 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 21, 2026, 5:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes51%
No49%
YesWon
NoLost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on Oct 21, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT is at least the close price of the 1-minute Pyth GOLD candlestick at 1:15 PM EDT on October 21, 2026 USD/|| Unit ||, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth - Gold
- The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.
- When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval.
- For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM.
- If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.