KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No (28%)
Resolved: Oct 21, 2026, 6:45 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 21, 2026, 6:35 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes72%
No28%
YesLost
NoWon
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PolymarketRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on Oct 21, 2026 at 2:45 AM EDT is at least 4115.27 USD/|| Unit ||, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth - Gold
- The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.
- When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval.
- For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM.
- If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.