Who will be confirmed as Fed chair?
Fed
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Kevin Warsh (100%)
Resolved: May 13, 2026, 8:10 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probabilityKevin Warsh 100%+0.1ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.2M
Liquidity
$69.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 74 days ago
StaleMar 5, 26, 12:00 AMJan 8, 29, 3:00 PM
Trends
100%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Kevin Warsh
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall68% match · verified | Low | 100% | — | $5.2M | $6.9M | 74 days ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Low | 100% | — | $1.2M | $69.7K | 74 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Closed
Resolved
Kevin Warsh (100%)
100%
0%
0%
+32 more outcomes
49 • Low qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidity
Total Vol$64.5M
24h Vol$5.2M
POLYMARKETRules
If Kevin Warsh is the first person confirmed as chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.
- If Judy Shelton is the first person confirmed as chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Rick Rieder is the first person confirmed as chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Kevin Hassett is the first person confirmed as chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If Kevin Warsh is the first person confirmed as chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.
- If Judy Shelton is the first person confirmed as chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Rick Rieder is the first person confirmed as chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Kevin Hassett is the first person confirmed as chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.