KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Charles Leclerc (99%)
Resolved: Nov 2, 2026, 3:29 AM
Provider-verified resolution
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Winning Outcome
Charles Leclerc
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 2, 2026, 3:15 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Charles Leclerc99%
George Russell10%
Charles LeclercWon
George RussellLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Charles Leclerc achieves a better finishing position than George Russell in the Grand Prix at the Mexico City Grand Prix originally scheduled for November 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:FIA
- Additional Clarifications: Non-Participation: If one or both competitors don't participate (not entered, withdrawn, or absent), all markets resolve to a fair market price. Both Disqualified (DSQ): If both competitors are disqualified (DSQ), all markets resolve to 50/50. One Disqualified (DSQ): If only one competitor is disqualified (DSQ), that competitor resolves to No. Both Did Not Start (DNS): If both competitors did not start the session (DNS), all markets resolve to 50/50. One Did Not Start (DNS): If one competitor did not start (DNS) and the other starts, the competitor that started resolves to Yes. Both Did Not Finish (DNF): If both competitors start the race but neither finishes (both DNF), the competitor who completed more full laps resolves to Yes. One Finishes, One Doesn’t (DNF): If one competitor is classified as a finisher and the other isn't, the finisher resolves to Yes. Both Finish: If both competitors finish the session, the competitor with the better position resolves to Yes. Identical Results: If both competitors achieve identical results (same position, same laps, etc.), all markets resolve to 50/50. Outcome Hierarchy: Classified finish > DNF (by laps) > DNS > DSQ Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Charles Leclerc
- If Charles Leclerc achieves a better finishing position than George Russell in the Grand Prix at the Mexico City Grand Prix originally scheduled for November 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- George Russell
- If George Russell achieves a better finishing position than Charles Leclerc in the Grand Prix at the Mexico City Grand Prix originally scheduled for November 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.