KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 7, 2026, 2:12 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
30 days or more · —
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Stored price
30 days or more 12%Market line of 4 lines
30 days or more 12%Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$100K
Open interest
$100K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
30 days or moreSpread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 6, 26, 9:45 PM UTCApr 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · 30 days or more
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Rules
If United States imports of live cattle from Sonora, Mexico, are suspended for a cumulative total of at least 30 calendar days between November 6, 2026 and March 31, 2027, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:MS NowABCFox NewsAssociated PressWhite HouseBBCCNBCThe Wall Street JournalNew York TimesCBSNBCU.S. Customs and Border ProtectionThe Washington PostCNNReutersBloomberg NewsFederal Registerthe U.S. Department of Agriculture
- Only suspensions publicly announced by a U.S. federal authority and covering all live cattle from Sonora at every authorized U.S. port count. Days are cumulative, include weekends and holidays, and need not be consecutive.
Rules for each outcome
- 30 days or more
- If United States imports of live cattle from Sonora, Mexico, are suspended for a cumulative total of at least 30 calendar days between November 6, 2026 and March 31, 2027, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 60 days or more
- If United States imports of live cattle from Sonora, Mexico, are suspended for a cumulative total of at least 60 calendar days between November 6, 2026 and March 31, 2027, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 90 days or more
- If United States imports of live cattle from Sonora, Mexico, are suspended for a cumulative total of at least 90 calendar days between November 6, 2026 and March 31, 2027, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 120 days or more
- If United States imports of live cattle from Sonora, Mexico, are suspended for a cumulative total of at least 120 calendar days between November 6, 2026 and March 31, 2027, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.