KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Satellite (98%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Hadrian31%
Europe / European69%
Satellite98%
Boeing99%
Iran / Middle East98%
Morfius96%
NASA4%
Venus Aerospace2%
Peru / Peruvian2%
HadrianLost
BoeingLost
Venture FundLost
Europe / EuropeanLost
DARPALost
Golden DomeLost
SikorskyLost
SatelliteWon
Iran / Middle EastLost
F-35Lost
MorfiusLost
NASALost
Venus AerospaceLost
Peru / PeruvianLost
OrionLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketWill Lockheed Martin deliver more than 190 F-35 aircraft in 2028?
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PolymarketRules
If Satellite is said by any Lockheed Martin Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Lockheed Martin Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Lockheed Martin Corporation Investor Events
- How this is resolved Video of the Lockheed Martin Corporation earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Lockheed Martin Corporation earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. Payout criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Hadrian
- If Hadrian is said by any Lockheed Martin Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Lockheed Martin Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Boeing
- If Boeing is said by any Lockheed Martin Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Lockheed Martin Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Venture Fund
- If Venture Fund is said by any Lockheed Martin Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Lockheed Martin Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Europe / European
- If Europe / European is said by any Lockheed Martin Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Lockheed Martin Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
- DARPA
- If DARPA is said by any Lockheed Martin Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Lockheed Martin Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Golden Dome
- If Golden Dome is said by any Lockheed Martin Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Lockheed Martin Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sikorsky
- If Sikorsky is said by any Lockheed Martin Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Lockheed Martin Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Satellite
- If Satellite is said by any Lockheed Martin Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Lockheed Martin Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iran / Middle East
- If Iran / Middle East is said by any Lockheed Martin Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Lockheed Martin Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
- F-35
- If F-35 is said by any Lockheed Martin Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Lockheed Martin Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Morfius
- If Morfius is said by any Lockheed Martin Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Lockheed Martin Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
- NASA
- If NASA is said by any Lockheed Martin Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Lockheed Martin Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Venus Aerospace
- If Venus Aerospace is said by any Lockheed Martin Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Lockheed Martin Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Peru / Peruvian
- If Peru / Peruvian is said by any Lockheed Martin Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Lockheed Martin Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Orion
- If Orion is said by any Lockheed Martin Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Lockheed Martin Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.