KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Tailwind (99%)
Resolved: Jul 22, 2026, 6:30 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Tailwind
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
39%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 22, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Probability Timeline
Oil52%
AI / Artificial Intelligence23%
Tailwind42%
Oneworld77%
Tariff7%
Boeing82%
Starlink87%
Amazon63%
Headwind91%
New Zealand16%
Iran / Middle East17%
Cargo95%
Iceland1%
TailwindWon
OneworldLost
AmazonLost
CargoLost
HeadwindLost
BoeingLost
StarlinkLost
TariffLost
OilLost
Iran / Middle EastLost
AI / Artificial IntelligenceLost
IcelandLost
New ZealandLost
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If Cargo is said by any Alaska Air Group, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Alaska Air Group, Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the Alaska Air Group, Inc. earnings call will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Alaska Air Group, Inc. earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract.
- The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Please see full rules for more details.
- If Tariff is said by any Alaska Air Group, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Alaska Air Group, Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
